邱垂正,童振源,2008 9 月, 「陈水扁政府与马英九政府的中国战之比较 与检讨」《战:台湾国家安全政策评》 , ,第 1 期,页 78-99.
陈水扁政府与马英九政府的中国战之比较与检讨
邱垂正,童振源
一,
中文名称:
陈水扁政府与马英九政府的中国战之比较与检讨
二,
英文名称
Comparison and Review on the China Strategies of the Chen Shui-bian administration and the Ma Ying-jeou Administration
三,
中文摘要
进入 21 世纪后,台湾大政治阵营最大差在於对中国的战与政 策;2008 5 月政党替,也象徵台湾的中国战之「典范转移」 .执政八 的陈水扁政府无从战观与政策取向,已发展出清晰的脉络架构,并有具体的 实践成果与挑战.相较之下,虽然刚上台个月多,马英九政府已经迅速构建其 中国战与政策.透过比较与检讨,本文希望对照出台湾任政府在中国政策的 战差以及政策实践. 相对於陈水扁政府的中国战可用「主权清晰,政经平衡」概括,马英九 政府的中国战则可用「主权模糊,经济优先」形容.本文总结,现阶段岸 关系发展有三项发展趋势以及台湾未所必须面对的项风险.三项发展趋势: 一,岸关系将趋向缓和;二,岸互动节奏由中国主导;三,台湾对中国将快 速开放.项风险:一,台湾主体性弱化,二,潜藏的岸主权冲突.
四,
abstract
In the wake of the 21th century, the most significant difference between the Blue Camp and the Green Camp of two major political forces in Taiwan lies in their strategies and policies toward China. The power alternation in May, 2008, signified a "paradigm shift" of Taiwan's China strategy. In the past
1
eight years of ruling, the Chen Shui-bian administration had developed a clear policy framework as well as concrete results and challenges of its implementation. In comparison, although in power for only more than two months, the Ma Ying-jeou administration has rapidly articulated its strategy and policies toward China. Through comparison and review, this paper is to make it clear the differences between the Chen Shui-bian administration and the Ma Ying-jeou administration in terms of their strategies and policy implementation results toward China. The China strategy of the Chen Shui-bian administration can be characterized as "Strategic Clarity on Sovereignty, Balance of Politics and Economy," while the China strategy of the Ma Ying-jeou administration can be described as "Strategic Ambiguity on Sovereignty, Economy First." This paper concludes three trends of current Cross-strait relations and two risks that Taiwan faces in the future. Three trends: approaching détente of the Cross-strait relation; the tempo of Cross-strait interaction being dominated by China; the acceleration of Taiwan's social and economic opening to China. Two risks: the weakening of Taiwan consciousness; latent Cross-strait conflicts over sovereignty.

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