The Future of Mobile
Applications
John Canny
UCB EECS
Marc Davis
UCB School of Information
& Yahoo! Research Berkeley

The Business
There are 6.5 billion people on earth
- only about 1.2 billion in "developed" countries
They will buy 800 million mobile phones this year
- one person in eight on the planet
That's 4x PC or TV unit sales
Fraction of smartphones
should reach 40% by 2009
- most common "computer"
800m
200m
What kind of computer is it
This year's Smartphone (free with service contract)
150-200 MHz ARM processor
32 MB ram
2 GB flash (not included)
Windows-98 PC that boots quickly!
Plus:
Camera
AGPS (Qualcomm/Snaptrack)
DSP cores, OpenGL GPU
EV-DO (300 kb/s), Bluetooth
200 mips
What's Coming
In the past, the platform was driven by voice+messaging
Now the high end is driven by video, gaming, location,…
The result is diversification of the platform, and sudden jumps in performance, e.g. Qualcomm has 4 platforms:
Value platform (voice only)
…
…
4. Convergence platform (MP3 player,
gamer, camera,…) several times
the performance of today's high-end

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